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DHT: 11CSV

23 Jan 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.8%
Waregem
26.9%
Draw
29.3%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Waregem

vs
1.19

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Markets

BTTS54.8%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
7.7%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).