Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.4%
Arouca
16.8%
Draw
68.8%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Arouca
vs
2.42
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.544.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.5%
0-1
8.2%
1-3
7.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
1-4
4.7%
0-4
4.6%
2-1
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
1-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).