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28 Sept 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.8%
Sion
31.3%
Draw
26.8%
Lausanne Sport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Sion

vs
1.07

Lausanne Sport

Markets

BTTS51.6%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.0%
0-0
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).