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AHT: 10CSV

19 Feb 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.3%
Scunthorpe
22.1%
Draw
59.5%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Scunthorpe

vs
1.77

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
6.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).