Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
Sp Braga
29.4%
Draw
43.1%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Sp Braga
vs
1.14
Porto
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.558.2%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
0-3
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).