Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.9%
Hednesford Town
8.0%
Draw
2.1%
Worcester Raiders
Expected Goals (xG)
2.94
Hednesford Town
vs
0.30
Worcester Raiders
Markets
BTTS24.5%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.9%
3-0
16.6%
4-0
12.2%
1-0
11.6%
5-0
7.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
0-0
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
1-1
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
0-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).