Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Modena
26.2%
Draw
17.1%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Modena
vs
0.83
Empoli
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.2%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).