Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Las Palmas
25.0%
Draw
24.1%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Las Palmas
vs
1.00
Almeria
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).