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AHT: 02CSV

20 Apr 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.0%
Woking
28.5%
Draw
29.6%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Woking

vs
1.15

Torquay

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).