Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.7%
Pogoń Szczecin
27.3%
Draw
34.0%
Jagiellonia Białystok
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Pogoń Szczecin
vs
1.35
Jagiellonia Białystok
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.8%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).