Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.1%
Galatasaray
21.2%
Draw
11.6%
İstanbul Başakşehir
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
Galatasaray
vs
1.00
İstanbul Başakşehir
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
5.9%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
3-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).