⚽ FootballData
1 – 0
HHT: 10CSV

18 Mar 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
67.6%
Wolfsburg
19.5%
Draw
12.9%
Darmstadt

Expected Goals (xG)

2.28

Wolfsburg

vs
0.91

Darmstadt

Markets

BTTS54.3%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
1-0
8.7%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
4.8%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
4-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).