Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.5%
Dover Athletic
13.0%
Draw
81.5%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Dover Athletic
vs
2.82
Notts County
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.545.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.4%
0-3
11.7%
0-1
8.3%
0-4
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
1-3
7.6%
1-1
6.2%
1-4
5.3%
0-5
4.6%
0-0
3.6%
1-5
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).