Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.8%
Sutton
34.3%
Draw
53.9%
Stamford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.33
Sutton
vs
1.04
Stamford
Markets
BTTS17.8%
Over 0.574.8%
Over 1.539.5%
Over 2.515.9%
Over 3.55.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
26.8%
0-0
25.2%
0-2
13.8%
1-0
8.6%
1-1
8.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-1
1.4%
2-0
1.4%
0-4
1.3%
2-2
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).