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AHT: 01

14 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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83.6%
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
9.7%
Draw
6.7%
Biggleswade

Expected Goals (xG)

3.50

Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.

vs
0.99

Biggleswade

Markets

BTTS60.8%
Over 0.599.0%
Over 1.593.7%
Over 2.582.5%
Over 3.565.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
7.0%
4-1
7.0%
2-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
5-0
4.9%
5-1
4.9%
1-0
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
1-1
3.8%
4-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).