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17 Aug 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.2%
Crowborough Athletic
24.9%
Draw
22.8%
Sevilla

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Crowborough Athletic

vs
1.01

Sevilla

Markets

BTTS51.7%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).