Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Roma
27.2%
Draw
33.3%
Juventus
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Roma
vs
1.13
Juventus
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).