Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.1%
Darmstadt
14.9%
Draw
7.0%
Ingolstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.69
Darmstadt
vs
0.73
Ingolstadt
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
3-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
7.1%
1-1
7.1%
4-1
5.2%
0-0
3.9%
5-0
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).