Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.1%
Valladolid
21.2%
Draw
58.7%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Valladolid
vs
2.08
Almeria
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
0-2
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
1-0
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
1-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).