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DHT: 00CSV

01 May 2021 · 14:00

Spezia

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.3%
Verona
28.7%
Draw
34.0%
Spezia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Verona

vs
1.06

Spezia

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.8%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).