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AHT: 11CSV

06 May 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.3%
Auxerre
31.8%
Draw
24.9%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Auxerre

vs
0.67

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS29.7%
Over 0.582.1%
Over 1.548.5%
Over 2.523.3%
Over 3.58.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.9%
0-0
17.9%
0-1
13.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
6.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
3-0
3.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
0.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).