Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.8%
Stafford Town
28.6%
Draw
44.6%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Stafford Town
vs
1.22
Sutton
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
11.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).