Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Biggleswade
21.3%
Draw
39.3%
Alfreton Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Biggleswade
vs
1.81
Alfreton Town
Markets
BTTS69.8%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.570.2%
Over 3.549.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
1-0
5.1%
0-1
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
2-3
4.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).