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22 Sept 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.6%
Preston
32.3%
Draw
29.1%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Preston

vs
0.94

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.8%
1-0
13.1%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).