Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.4%
Lecce
18.1%
Draw
7.5%
Pordenone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Lecce
vs
0.60
Pordenone
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
1-0
12.1%
3-0
11.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.4%
4-0
6.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-0
2.8%
0-1
2.7%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).