Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.7%
Lorient
21.8%
Draw
19.6%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Lorient
vs
0.87
Troyes
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
6.5%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).