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AHT: 01CSV

20 Aug 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.4%
Osnabruck
24.0%
Draw
57.5%
Nurnberg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Osnabruck

vs
1.91

Nurnberg

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.9%
0-1
9.3%
0-0
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
0-3
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
3.2%
1-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).