⚽ FootballData
0 – 1
AHT: 01CSV

02 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
34.1%
St Johnstone
28.8%
Draw
37.1%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

St Johnstone

vs
1.25

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).