Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.4%
West Ham
27.4%
Draw
39.1%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
West Ham
vs
1.56
Leeds
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-0
6.6%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).