Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.8%
AEK
14.4%
Draw
4.9%
Larisa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
AEK
vs
0.51
Larisa
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.3%
3-0
13.0%
1-0
11.6%
4-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-1
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).