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16 May 2021 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.9%
St Mirren
29.5%
Draw
33.6%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

St Mirren

vs
1.16

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
10.1%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).