Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Carrarese
27.7%
Draw
24.9%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Carrarese
vs
1.07
Mantova
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).