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30 Jun 2020 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.0%
Barnsley
33.0%
Draw
39.0%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Barnsley

vs
1.10

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS40.4%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.8%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
13.9%
1-0
11.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).