Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.2%
RB Leipzig
22.6%
Draw
21.2%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
RB Leipzig
vs
1.19
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.540.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
0-0
4.7%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).