Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Elgin
33.1%
Draw
26.3%
Cowdenbeath
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Elgin
vs
0.98
Cowdenbeath
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.5%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).