Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.3%
Southampton
23.4%
Draw
67.2%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Southampton
vs
1.87
Everton
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.2%
0-1
15.0%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
10.0%
0-3
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
1-3
5.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).