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DHT: 11CSV

13 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Empoli

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.7%
Cremonese
20.6%
Draw
14.8%
Empoli

Expected Goals (xG)

2.27

Cremonese

vs
1.02

Empoli

Markets

BTTS58.1%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
3-0
7.3%
2-2
5.0%
0-0
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
4-1
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
3-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).