Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Valladolid
29.2%
Draw
30.1%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Valladolid
vs
0.96
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).