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HHT: 20CSV

05 Mar 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.1%
Fulham
20.3%
Draw
10.5%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

2.11

Fulham

vs
0.71

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.3%
1-0
11.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.4%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).