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AHT: 11CSV

13 Apr 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.4%
Cremonese
23.2%
Draw
16.4%
Ternana

Expected Goals (xG)

1.98

Cremonese

vs
0.95

Ternana

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
0-1
4.1%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).