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07 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.5%
Gent
23.1%
Draw
45.5%
Sint-Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Gent

vs
1.87

Sint-Truiden

Markets

BTTS66.6%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-3
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
0-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).