Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.8%
Sp Braga
12.4%
Draw
6.9%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72
Sp Braga
vs
0.66
Estrela
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
3-0
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
4-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
5.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-0
4.2%
0-0
3.1%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).