Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.8%
Oxford
16.8%
Draw
15.4%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Oxford
vs
1.00
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
3-0
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
4-0
4.4%
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).