Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.3%
Mansfield
21.6%
Draw
21.1%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Mansfield
vs
0.94
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
2-0
10.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).