Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.0%
Troyes
17.1%
Draw
68.0%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Troyes
vs
2.36
Monaco
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.543.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.6%
0-1
8.6%
1-1
7.7%
1-3
7.6%
0-3
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
1-4
4.5%
0-4
4.5%
2-1
4.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).