Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.8%
Sturm Graz
26.6%
Draw
36.6%
Salzburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Sturm Graz
vs
1.44
Salzburg
Markets
BTTS59.1%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.2%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.8%
0-2
5.8%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).