Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Moreirense
26.9%
Draw
23.0%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Moreirense
vs
0.81
Farense
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).