Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.7%
Cadiz
22.3%
Draw
17.9%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Cadiz
vs
0.89
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
2-0
11.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
6.8%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).