Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.5%
Wrexham
10.0%
Draw
5.5%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
3.55
Wrexham
vs
0.94
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.594.1%
Over 2.582.5%
Over 3.565.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
4-1
7.0%
2-1
6.6%
5-0
5.3%
5-1
5.0%
1-1
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).