Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.2%
Ascoli
31.5%
Draw
16.4%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Ascoli
vs
0.61
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.529.9%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
0-0
16.0%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
12.5%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).